Euro Hits 11-year Low in Wake of Greek Election

Euro hits 11-year low in wake of Greek election

The euro hit an 11-year low versus the US dollar on Monday as Greece's anti-austerity Syriza party swept to victory in a snap election, putting Athens on a collision course with international lenders.

The single currency dropped to $US1.1098, a level not seen since September 2003, as official projections showed Syriza was set to win 149 seats in the 300-seat parliament, taking 36.3 per cent of the vote.

The euro fell to as low as ¥130.16, its lowest level in more than 11 years. The euro also fell against sterling, hitting a seven-year low of 74.06 pence.

In the near term, traders are looking to whether Syriza will secure an outright majority, which would raise the risk of a standoff with Greece's European lenders over austerity measures as well as the stance of Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras.

"Usually politicians say populistic things before an election. So now the question is how much they are going to stick to the promises made to the Troika," said Ayako Sera, market strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank.

Market participants saw the risk that euro selling would pick up during the Asian session if Syriza secures an outright majority.

Such a scenario could trigger a test of $US1.10, where large options lay, according to several research notes.

But some analysts also said long-term impact may be more nuanced as most investors expect Tsipras to work with the European Union and other international lenders at the end of the day.

"The market was largely anticipating a victory," said Sebastien Galy, senior foreign exchange analyst at Societe Generale in New York.

"At the moment, the market believes that if there is any (debt) restructuring it would only involve the official sector and for now, the possibility of Greece leaving the euro zone even with the incoming government is small," he added.

The euro also remained on the defensive after Thursday's announcement of quantitative easing by the European Central Bank.

It has sold off dramatically from $US1.21 at the start of the year and lost more then 3 per cent against the US dollar last week, in the wake of aggressive asset-buying measures announced by the ECB to shore up the region's struggling economy.

Losses in the single currency provided a broad boost to the US dollar, with dollar index rising to 95.186, near 11-year high of 95.331 hit on Friday.

Against the yen, which benefitted from safe-haven flows after Greek election, the dollar stood little changed at ¥117.77.

Meanwhile, the Aussie sank as low as $US0.7850, its lowest since mid-2009, while the kiwi fell to more than three-year trough of $0.7407. 

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Swiss Central Bank Defends Franc Move Despite Turbulence

Switzerland’s central bank on Saturday stood by its shock decision to let the franc soar, insisting the subsequent turbulence rocking global markets and the Swiss economy since the move would eventually subside.

“This was not an easy decision... (but) we are convinced it is the right one,” Swiss central bank chief Thomas Jordan said in an interview published in Swiss dailies Le Temps and NZZ on Saturday.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB), he said, had determined that by continuing to artificially hold down the franc, “it risked losing control of its monetary policy in the long term.” Jordan’s comments came after the bank stunned markets Thursday with its decision to abandon the minimum rate of 1.20 francs against the euro that it had been defending for more than three years.

This Swiss currency has since gained around 20 per cent against other currencies and is currently trading at around parity with the euro.

The soaring franc caused panic on global markets, bankrupted foreign exchange traders as far away as New Zealand and was seen as a significant threat to Switzerland’s export-dependent economy.

The Swiss stock exchange’s main SMI index has plunged more than 14pc since Thursday’s announcement.

Swiss banking giant UBS said the SNB’s decision would deliver a severe blow to economic growth, slashing its forecast to just 0.5pc expansion this year from its previous estimate of 1.8pc.

The yield on Swiss 10-year bonds on Friday meanwhile entered negative territory for the first time, slipping to -0.031pc, meaning lenders will now have to pay to lend money to the country.

THREATENING ENTIRE SWISS SYSTEM: “The strong franc is threatening the entire Swiss system,” the Tribune de Geneve (TdG) daily lamented on Saturday, adding: “The future looks dark.”

Jordan said Switzerland’s central bankers, who unanimously agreed to scrap their long-drawn efforts to hold down the value of the franc, “were aware that this decision could have a major impact on markets.”

“The markets should gradually stabilise,” he said, admitting though that “it could take time.”

The SNB had been defending the exchange rate floor since September 2011 in an effort to protect the country’s vital export and tourism industries, even buying massive quantities of foreign currencies to do so.

The rate was introduced as the eurozone crisis sent investors scurrying to the safe haven currency. More recently, the Russian rouble crisis put renewed pressure on the franc.

Jordan insisted the efforts to rein in the franc were no longer justified, insisting the Swiss economy was in a much better place than it had been when the cap was introduced.

“We gave the Swiss economy time to adapt to the new situation. A period of three years is not negligible,” he said, stressing that “the currency cap from the beginning was supposed to be an exceptional and temporary measure.”

“It was always meant to be abandoned.”

SNB NOT ALL-POWERFUL: Now that the cap was gone, Jordan acknowledged that “following this decision, the economic situation in Switzerland is more difficult.”

But, he pointed out, “SNB cannot fulfil all wishes with its monetary policy. It is not all-powerful.”

His comments were unlikely to win over Swiss businesses bracing to see exports plunge and shoppers at home flood across to neighbouring eurozone countries for cheaper goods.

“Making products in Switzerland and selling them abroad is currently the worst possible scenario,” Syz analyst Jerome Schupp told TDG.

Peter Schiff on Fox Business - Possibility of QE3 6-22-11

Schiff contends QE3 will happen, though Bernanke will call it something else.

Q3 is all but certain, and also going to fail too... Peter Schiff.